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My predictions on world wide console unit sales numbers for the year ending 2012

I am not God and do not profess to have some all knowing, future seeing brain. This is just a fun topic and my opinion based on my very meager knowledge of the way the gaming world works. So without further delay...

I believe Nintendo's Wii will do a lot better than the Game Cube did. The console, while disappointing to me, has a good strategy and very good potential for growth through longevity. The Wii is helping to bring in new gamers to the industry thus creating an add on market for it's self and the industry as a whole. I think it just might sell between 30 - 40 Million units and perhaps just a little more.. perhaps. Now with all this success will Nintendo now bring out a significantly more powerful Wii 2 for the it's loyal fan base that would be on par with it's competitors for the next gen era? I have a sticky feeling like - hell no! It will most likely follow the tradition of the Game Cube and Wii - a shame really.

Sony's PlayStation 3 and it's fan base are just too strong and unless something catastrophic happens in the industry, it will remain dominate for this gen. It has the most potential for immense growth through longevity. However, it seems that the PlayStation 3 has been built more sturdy than it's predecessors so you might find a little less people replacing their initial systems for newer upgrades. That being said I think the PlayStation 3 may very well sell between 90 - 100 Million units. The PlayStation 4? Man, I can't even begin to phantom a thought for it's potential.

Microsoft's Xbox360 is a little hard for me to make a decent guess at. This is mainly because I've truly seen what the power of hype and slander can do. Advertising, good or bad, can be a very powerful thing and Microsoft has shown it posses this power and uses it more and better than others in this industry. In factoring in so many intangibles with the Xbox360 I've come to my conclusions that despite it all that, the Xbox360 may well be the second runner up for the end of this gen's battle selling more than it's predecessor but not by a significant much at roughly between 25 - 32 Million units sold. An Xbox 3? Man this one could be very tricky for Microsoft but I hope they find a way to continue to compete in the industry but I have a gut feeling...

I'd be very interested in seeing how close my initial predictions come and look forward to all the trials and jubilations of the industry for as long as I have interest.

Thank you for reading my blog.

[ORIGINALLY BLOGED ON DEC. 24 '06 ON GS]

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Old
Oh jeeeesus... This is OLD OLD OLD dec2006?
karlostomy6539d ago WhoDisagree(0)Agree(0)
Lame
Industry news? This is someones BLOG. No wonder Nasim approved it
karlostomy6539d ago WhoDisagree(0)Agree(0)
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bigger picture please
shadowghost7526541d ago WhoDisagree(0)Agree(0)
GIN6536d ago

thank you, i also have foreseen wiis untimely end, it looks to be high in numbers now, but i said that 2 years from launch it will fade away

thewhoopimen6499d ago

I think the Wii might do slightly better than your predicted 30-40 million. That number will be exceeded by next year or the year after. If you talk about sales tapering off, perhaps 60-70 mill is probably a more sensible choice. As for the PS3 dominating. I think Sony will hit 70-80 million at the end of the console race, just ekeing out Nintendo under your prediction. By my prediction, it will come out 2nd in the race at around 60-70 million with Wii hitting 80-90 million and MS hitting 30 mil.

Btw, why is your name Chubear?

Chubear6413d ago (Edited 6413d ago )

and now there are some things that are clearer but it seems I was generally in the right area. I'm still sticking with my general predictions cause I've seen I'm pretty much on the money with that but I MAY be off a little with Wii # and PS3 Numbers.

I said Wii btw 30-40 million and PERHAPS a LITTLE more. I still stand by that fairly well but when I made that prediction I didn't think these non-traditional gamers would stick around. If it was up to just gamers the Wii would be dead last this gen again and now, in 2009 we can see this clearly.

If they go over 40 mill, how much over will they go? NES numbers of 65 mill? I still say no but some have even said 100mill and that to me is IMPOSSIBLE cause the wii is only a gaming machine and no solo gaming machine has ever gotten to 100 mill. So, Nintendo making the Wii do SNES numbers would be a great feat but I can't see any more than that - We'll see soon enough.

As for PS3; I predicted btw 90-100 mill in 2006 and in 2007 I saw I was way off but still, during that period in time, saying the PS3 would sell 100 million seemed ludicrous to most and I got flammed insanely for that.

However, I've seen that the PS3 will do or, more likely, surpass PS2 numbers by the end of it's production cycle at over 150million.

As for the 360? well it may go a little above the 32 mill mark but bottom line is, it's finished. Call in the dogs with this console cause the hunt is over.

Btw - Chubear is a nickname from college. My middle name is Chulu and some girls of mine in the past used to say I was hung like a Bear; hence the name Chubear.

70°

Microsoft Gaming Revenue Drops 7% Year-on-Year, Content and Services Down 5%, Xbox Hardware Down 33%

Microsoft announced its financial results for Q3 of fiscal year 2026, including an update on its gaming Xbox business and more.

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simulationdaily.com
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Jin_Sakai13d ago (Edited 13d ago )

Not looking good. Hopefully Asha Sharma is able to turn Phil’s disaster around.

dveio13d ago

To me it's still quite remarkable how they can cash-in 5.3bn in revenue in a single quarter, since their hardware is basically dead.

Jingsing13d ago

The stock mark is what makes Microsoft remarkable, They have convinced every institutional and retail investor to just keep piling money into them. Like many big tech giants they are just a big growing pyramid scheme. As long as people keep dropping money into ETF's that cover the market Microsoft will always be liquid. At the same time it is completely stifling innovation and competition. People need to start being more discreet in how they invest their money as it's killing the system.

Tanktopmaster9213d ago

Once they re-evaluate exclusive all will be fine….

S2Killinit13d ago

Riiiiight because people will just flock back to them for one or two games per year.

Jingsing13d ago

15+ years of bad performance is what they call irreparable in business. It is time for them to sell off the assets and get out of entertainment.

Tanktopmaster9213d ago

These declines are on the back of extra revenue received from releasing games like Forza horizon 5 on PlayStation. So I’m being sarcastic here when I said they should go back to exclusives. Killing off a revenue stream from Ps5 sales will only make things worse

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40°

Games Done Quick is coming to Europe for the first time with 3 days of Gamescom speedruns

The charity event will be streamed live from Gamescom in August.

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Report: Injustice 3 in Development at NetherRealm Studios

Thanks to the slip-up of an artist working on the title, we now have more evidence that a new Injustice game is in the works.

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