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Chubear

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My predictions on world wide console unit sales numbers for the year ending 2012

I am not God and do not profess to have some all knowing, future seeing brain. This is just a fun topic and my opinion based on my very meager knowledge of the way the gaming world works. So without further delay...

I believe Nintendo's Wii will do a lot better than the Game Cube did. The console, while disappointing to me, has a good strategy and very good potential for growth through longevity. The Wii is helping to bring in new gamers to the industry thus creating an add on market for it's self and the industry as a whole. I think it just might sell between 30 - 40 Million units and perhaps just a little more.. perhaps. Now with all this success will Nintendo now bring out a significantly more powerful Wii 2 for the it's loyal fan base that would be on par with it's competitors for the next gen era? I have a sticky feeling like - hell no! It will most likely follow the tradition of the Game Cube and Wii - a shame really.

Sony's PlayStation 3 and it's fan base are just too strong and unless something catastrophic happens in the industry, it will remain dominate for this gen. It has the most potential for immense growth through longevity. However, it seems that the PlayStation 3 has been built more sturdy than it's predecessors so you might find a little less people replacing their initial systems for newer upgrades. That being said I think the PlayStation 3 may very well sell between 90 - 100 Million units. The PlayStation 4? Man, I can't even begin to phantom a thought for it's potential.

Microsoft's Xbox360 is a little hard for me to make a decent guess at. This is mainly because I've truly seen what the power of hype and slander can do. Advertising, good or bad, can be a very powerful thing and Microsoft has shown it posses this power and uses it more and better than others in this industry. In factoring in so many intangibles with the Xbox360 I've come to my conclusions that despite it all that, the Xbox360 may well be the second runner up for the end of this gen's battle selling more than it's predecessor but not by a significant much at roughly between 25 - 32 Million units sold. An Xbox 3? Man this one could be very tricky for Microsoft but I hope they find a way to continue to compete in the industry but I have a gut feeling...

I'd be very interested in seeing how close my initial predictions come and look forward to all the trials and jubilations of the industry for as long as I have interest.

Thank you for reading my blog.

[ORIGINALLY BLOGED ON DEC. 24 '06 ON GS]

GIN6514d ago

thank you, i also have foreseen wiis untimely end, it looks to be high in numbers now, but i said that 2 years from launch it will fade away

thewhoopimen6476d ago

I think the Wii might do slightly better than your predicted 30-40 million. That number will be exceeded by next year or the year after. If you talk about sales tapering off, perhaps 60-70 mill is probably a more sensible choice. As for the PS3 dominating. I think Sony will hit 70-80 million at the end of the console race, just ekeing out Nintendo under your prediction. By my prediction, it will come out 2nd in the race at around 60-70 million with Wii hitting 80-90 million and MS hitting 30 mil.

Btw, why is your name Chubear?

Chubear6391d ago (Edited 6391d ago )

and now there are some things that are clearer but it seems I was generally in the right area. I'm still sticking with my general predictions cause I've seen I'm pretty much on the money with that but I MAY be off a little with Wii # and PS3 Numbers.

I said Wii btw 30-40 million and PERHAPS a LITTLE more. I still stand by that fairly well but when I made that prediction I didn't think these non-traditional gamers would stick around. If it was up to just gamers the Wii would be dead last this gen again and now, in 2009 we can see this clearly.

If they go over 40 mill, how much over will they go? NES numbers of 65 mill? I still say no but some have even said 100mill and that to me is IMPOSSIBLE cause the wii is only a gaming machine and no solo gaming machine has ever gotten to 100 mill. So, Nintendo making the Wii do SNES numbers would be a great feat but I can't see any more than that - We'll see soon enough.

As for PS3; I predicted btw 90-100 mill in 2006 and in 2007 I saw I was way off but still, during that period in time, saying the PS3 would sell 100 million seemed ludicrous to most and I got flammed insanely for that.

However, I've seen that the PS3 will do or, more likely, surpass PS2 numbers by the end of it's production cycle at over 150million.

As for the 360? well it may go a little above the 32 mill mark but bottom line is, it's finished. Call in the dogs with this console cause the hunt is over.

Btw - Chubear is a nickname from college. My middle name is Chulu and some girls of mine in the past used to say I was hung like a Bear; hence the name Chubear.

60°

Capcom Says Pragmata Sold 1 Million Copies in 2 Days

Pragmata has sold 1 million copies in two days, Capcom has announced.

asad1974h ago

Capcom is the best developer of all time. Consistent hit over many years .

DivineHand1254h ago

I didn't know it came out last Friday, or I would have bought the game. I will try again for this upcoming weekend.

CrimsonWing694h ago

Im really digging it. It reminds me of games from the PS2 era, not visually or how it plays, but like the spirit of it. If you were around for that golden age of gaming, you’ll get what I mean when you play this.

LucasRuinedChildhood3h ago

Have you tried Kanitsu-Gami: Path Of The Goddess (also Capcom)? That feels like a PS2-era Capcom game.

The_Hooligan3h ago

Agreed! The art style is amazing in that game. I bought it immediately after I played the demo but haven't started it lol

robtion13m ago

I know what you mean. I think it really feels like Vanquish, with some Dead Space and Binary Domain thrown in. So maybe more PS3 era but yes it is great.

isarai_lee4h ago

The next thing I'm mine when I've had my fill of crimson desert. A nice linear action game to contrast the open ended 😗👌

jznrpg3h ago

CD is so big I’ll play it all year and squeeze shorter games inbetween

jznrpg3h ago

I preordered it long ago. Going to start it later this evening

Show all comments (13)
50°

Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 Is The Second Title To Win Game Of The Year At All Major Awards Shows

Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 has now become the second title to win Game of the Year at all five major awards shows.

Read Full Story >>
twistedvoxel.com
INMATEofARKHAM5h ago

solideagle, maybe the article is wrong but it mentions BG3 as the other.

CrimsonWing694h ago

It’s good, but I’m getting tired of seeing how overrated it’s getting.

andy852h ago

It just wasn't for you in that way i guess. Can't really argue with it when it wins all the awards and it's the highest rating by players of all time

1nsomniac2h ago(Edited 2h ago)

I thought this game was a load of rubbish. Trying too hard to be art(sy) by people who don’t really understand art but want to make it look like they do. Found it obvious and shallow and just not a fun game. Just seemed like every relentless second they were clutching at trying to feed this superior narrative… the irony being that’s kind of what I’m doing now… maybe that’s art imitating art….

dveio1h ago(Edited 1h ago)

Didn't know the Golden Joystick fan votum was considered one of the "major awards"?

I always thought it's "only" the Big Four - VGA, Bafta, GDC and DICE.

Nonetheless, congrats to Clair Obscur!

40°

Ex-Naughty Dog Dev: Big Studios Are 'Forced' to Hire Like Factories

Former Naughty Dog artist Gabriel Betancourt explains why the "sweet spot" for game teams is under 200 people and how AAA "factories" kill creativity.

Read Full Story >>
powerupgaming.co.uk