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Huliq:- Analysis: predicting Kinect launch sales figures

Huliq writes: Sony and its Playstation Move face the difficulty that its technology is merely a refinement of that underpinning Nintendo’s popular Wii console. Phrases like “Wii HD” and “Wii too” are used to deride the Move, but Microsoft doesn’t have that problem with the Kinect. Instead of taking an existing model for gaming and refining it, the company from Redmond went in a very new direction.

5681d ago Replies(2)
ingiomar5681d ago (Edited 5681d ago )

5 million units by christmas...nice if thats the case then we should have more great developers on kinect side

@booch
Jealous fanboy?

Lucreto5681d ago (Edited 5681d ago )

Yes it will get more developers and they will be disappointed when hardcore games start coming and no one buys them and they go back to making fitness games and dancing games.

It will be the wii all over again.

@eggbert

Don't get me wrong I want Kinect to succeed but I want it on the strenght of its software and hardware. As we have seen it is not the best. But spending $500 million on advertising it with no reviews until after people have parted with their money. I don't like a bought victory which MS seems to be good at. Most of that oney could have gome into jobs and help the economy get back into shape.

eggbert5681d ago

Ingiomar may be a troll at times, but that post wasn't really trolling. He didn't even bash anything, sure you may believe the Kinect will fail, but that makes you no better than the 360 fanboys that said the Move would fail.

That said, I think both peripherals will do good, the Move is already off to a strong start, and the Kinect seems to be attracting a good amount of casual buyers. I am REALLY hoping for some good black friday deals on the Move stuff, if not I'll have to wait until christmas to get a lot of the stuff I need with my budget.

postofficebuddy5681d ago

Are they talking US or worldwide? MS themselves said they're shooting for 3 million this year. 3.5 million first week is a pipe dream.

Stealth20k5681d ago (Edited 5681d ago )

has to be worldwide. Moves already done approx 2 mil in 30 days

gypsygib5681d ago

shipped...

But who cares how much Kinect sells, I can't imagine playing it for more than 15 minutes at a party, anymore than that would be lame, girls would take priority.

Stealth20k5681d ago

no sold

over 1 million sold in america

While Sony's official release says that it has shipped more than 1 million units, Reuters is reporting that more than a million units have actually been sold.

http://www.1up.com/news/pla...

GaMe015681d ago

On another note, I have been avoiding the inevitable flame bait that comes with talking about Kinect pre-orders/sales assumptions because I think it's always dumb to trust a company that says "pre-orders are selling out everywhere!" when no real numbers are given until the sales actually go through. Because of that, I stand by my OPINION that Kinect will do well. Why? Because, people are f'n stupid enough to buy into the marketing. If the Wii can succeed, so can this thing.

My point is derived from the concept that while the device MAY work, even relatively to how it's advertised to work, the software, just like Move is laughable at best. Microsoft is alienating their core audience who has been so loyal, loyal enough to take them above and beyond what people expected from the Xbox brand 5 years ago. And this same core audience is either shrieking out in excitement, for no definable reason, or is crying out against the grain saying exactly what I just said. Either way, spitballing numbers here, I'd say that a good 60-70% of Xbox 360's current userbase will buy into Kinect because they've bought into every other aspect of Microsoft's game business without batting an eye. There will be no logic for these people, and if anything will deter them, it'll be the price point. As that for the price of almost 3 games, you can own a device that still requires a limited selection of mediocre software (Dance Central will be a hit. That is all.) to use and enjoy. Going back to what I said earlier though, my opinion? Consumers are borderline retarded.

No motion control will ever take primary dominance over standardized button controls. Wii may seem to prove otherwise, but at least in MS's case, you have to look at the lack of a physical input device. Taking away the controller puts you in a situation similar to live action role playing. You're going to be flailing a fake sword around (sword peripheral not included), only with a less imaginative take on the results.

So people , take heed. If you want shenanigans to continue to run this fine games industry, don't buy into the hype. Sit back, watch Kinect launch from the comfort of your couches and see what post-apocalyptic crap comes raining down on Microsoft while you go "oh man, I'm glad I didn't buy that."

I'm not so much a fanboy, I'm just telling it like it is

shadyiswin5680d ago

Microsoft is not trying replace controllers genius, this is not some casual take over. It is simply an option, you want to play casual? Here play casual games. You want your shooters and sports? Here we have those too. The concept is simple, so simple that you guys over complicated it. Casual gaming is money, microsoft isn't going into half ass. If they were going in 50% you guys wouldn't shut up. They have 20 titles before years end, yes all are about the same types of games but what is being shown is support. The games are there and it works, the worst game I played is joyride and people loved it.

I mean really, what is the problem? The tech works. Tons of games in production. Microsoft has it full muscle behind it. You don't want it don't buy it. I mean it's only n4g and I know it's sony heaven, what does sony have going for it right now or even the rest of the year? I think your frustrations should be taken out on sony for giving you a lackluster year. Last must have was god of war 3, which is more of the same with better graphics. 1 player games can only have so much replay value. Sony needs to take it's own advice and "step your game up"

DaBadGuy5681d ago

Eh. Kinect will do well. IDK if it'll do better than Move, but Emperor Oprah's Seal of Approval will get the housewives out from behind the stove and in front of the television. The mainstream will eat this crap up. IDK about 5 million units by Christmas, but I'm sure they could do at least 3 mil. I'm not going to be part of that 3 mil, but to those of you getting Kinect, best of luck to you hope you enjoy playing it, because we'll all enjoy watching you while you play it.

I'm betting within a week accident videos will start popping up on YouTube.

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20°

Joy Ride Turbo - The Beginning of the End for Xbox Kinect

Joy Ride Turbo launched 10 years ago today. The first title was Xbox Kinect exclusive, yet this sequel failed to support the device at all.

300°

10 of the Biggest Video Game Hardware Failures Ever

Cultured Vultures: "Sadly, not all hardware is created equal, and no matter how much developers might try, some gaming hardware just fails to hit the mark. We’ve compiled a list of 10 gaming hardware fails, and boy did some fail hard."

Read Full Story >>
culturedvultures.com
Knightofelemia1571d ago

I would label the Power Glove, Kinect, and that Tony Hawk skateboard more as hardware addons hardware failure would be like the Virtual Boy and one day Stadia.

Magog1570d ago

Kinect was bundled with every Xbox One and inflated the price on an already underpowered and low RAM machine so for the One it wasn't an accessory as much as a white elephant.

CaptainHenry9161570d ago (Edited 1570d ago )

Definitely the RROD but that power glove had a lot of issues as well. The Kinect just didn't work

1570d ago
CrimsonWing691570d ago

Hardware add-ons are more like RAM or a video card, basically components that enhance capabilities or performance of the computer.

If you really want to get technical the Kinect is more of a peripheral device, kind of like a keyboard or mouse to a computer.

ThatsGaming1570d ago

The person in this article obviously is not up on their gaming history....

Sega Saturn, Sega Dreamcast, Coleco Gemini, Commodore 128, Commodore Amiga, Atari 5200, Atari 7800 were all massive failures and in most cases cost their companies participating in future gaming generations.

Gamer791570d ago

Sega saturn (successful in Japan) and dreamcast were not failures.
Seems like you're not up on you're gaming history

septemberindecember1570d ago

@Gamer79

How in the world are the Sega Saturn and Dreamcast not seen as failures? They both sold around 8M each, which is much lower than the ~30M that the Genesis had sold before it, and even the Master System before that. They were both the worst selling consoles in their respective generation (PS1, N64 outsold Saturn, PS2, GC, and Xbox outsold Dreamcast). Both of the consoles were incredibly short lived. The Saturn was discontinued in every territory but Japan after just three years. In Japan the console was discontinued after six years. Meanwhile the Dreamcast was discontinued worldwide in 2001 after launching in most territories in 1999 and in Japan in 1998. The failure of the Saturn and Dreamcast lead to Sega pulling out of the hardware market. Which, by the way, all of this occurred when Sega was massively dropping the price of their consoles quickly to compete. Sega was hemorrhaging money at this point.

None of this indicates a successful console. Saying the Saturn was a success because it did better in Japan is like saying the Vita is a success (they both sold around the same amount of units in Japan). Even the Wii U outsold these consoles worldwide.

Magog1570d ago

The picture should be the 360 RROD. When I think of gaming hardware failures that's what springs to mind. Kinect and it's bundled price tag definitely hobbled the already underpowered Xbox One though for sure so I would give it a close second place.

porkChop1570d ago (Edited 1570d ago )

That's not what the author means by failures. It's about hardware that failed in terms of sales (Wii U) or just failed to deliver on its promise (Kinect).

Magog1570d ago (Edited 1570d ago )

Given that the 360 had a year head start, much easier hardware to develop for, was cheaper, and still ended up in third place I think it qualifies especially when you factor in the frustration and huge losses incurred by RROD.

porkChop1570d ago

Selling over 80 million consoles isn't a sales flop. We get it, you don't like Xbox, but that doesn't mean the 360 is suddenly a failure.

Rhythmattic1569d ago

Porky....
You know how many people I know bought a 2nd or third 360 due to RROD? Even when MS had to confront the issue with replacement systems, my mates couldn't wait for even the turnaround of sending it in, and waiting for a replacement.,,..,..
If that's how you consider it a win... OK.. but so is having 5 , of which 3 don't function.... Its a win win....mwhahahahaha

porkChop1569d ago

"my mates couldn't wait for even the turnaround of sending it in"

You're acting like it would take months. When I sent my 360 in I got a new one literally 5 days later. As soon as MS had tracking confirmation that you sent yours, they'd send a new one to you the same day. No one is going to spend hundreds to buy a new console instead of waiting a week. I swear you guys pull some of the dumbest shit out of nowhere and think people will actually believe it.

Regardless, none of this changes the fact that this isn't what the article is even about.

Rhythmattic1568d ago (Edited 1568d ago )

Porky
"You're acting like it would take months"
Sometimes it could.. FFS.. 'Strya here...
Best turnaround I reckon was 2-3 weeks.....
Either way, My mates experiences still exist.. So Sorry, no point trying to earn Xbox Achievements when it doesn't feature in what was a situation you never dealt with,,,,
3 of my friends would disagree (overall, 10 extra Xboxes purchased)
Regardless.. MS sold a lot of 360's that was due to this reason.. That is sales. Fact

"none of this changes the fact that this isn't what the article is even about."
Headline says HELLO !
Oh and "Sadly, not all hardware is created equal," that's enough to pass this on without taking your article bias into consideration.....
As for the rest.... Ok.. But you've actually gone out of your way to give MS a Pass... Fap on.

+ Show (2) more repliesLast reply 1568d ago
Aloymetal1570d ago (Edited 1570d ago )

Yup, and because of that big fiasco MS had to fork out 1 billion but knowing them I think they're very proud of the 360, it's the only time a MS console reached 80mil+ sales, RROD played a big part of that and a record they will never break again.

Rhythmattic1569d ago (Edited 1569d ago )

So true.. Even when MS accepted they where caught out in the biggest lie of any generation, The wait for a replacement was outweighed by just buying another, and having one be returned as a backup, which, btw, generally failed on first swap.
I own honestly can't believe MS tards are just supporting , or arguing why and what MS did by just dismissing it....

lonewolf101570d ago

Lol I had the Atari Jaguar, surprised its "competition" the 3DO isn't on the list too, both as "popular" as each other.

SullysCigar1570d ago

Lol same. Played the crap out of Aliens Vs Predator and Tempest 2000 .... aaand that's about it really!!

lonewolf101570d ago

Sad but true that was pretty much it.

Kurt Russell1570d ago

Agreed, I never actually saw a 3DO make it to retailers in the UK. At least the Atari Jaguar was sold for around 6 months.

lonewolf101570d ago

It made it to some my brother got one, fared just as well as the Jaguar so most probably hard to find in general.

darthv721570d ago

3do had way better games. Jaguar not so much. Neo Geo sold less than both and yet isnt considered a failure. Go figure.

LWOGaming1570d ago

Stadia is a weird one. It hasn’t sold at all well but in terms of how it works it’s still miles ahead of Xcloud in terms of stability and performance. Xcloud is still a way behind and that needs sorting but it will be in time. Stadia for me is one of those things that will go down as a what could have been moments. With better marketing it could have been a roaring success. I still play it and it remains the best place in my opinion to play CyberPunk 2077. Only platform I have played it on without having any issues at all. The tech is great. The concept is fine. Marketing terrible. Shame really.

Magog1570d ago

The sales model was awful. They should have teamed with an existing player to allow for local and cloud access to games or a gaming subscription service.

LWOGaming1570d ago

It was a strange mess from such a huge company, as I said, as a system it works really well but without gamers it’s nothing. Such a waste,

LWOGaming1570d ago

The Xbox One was Microsoft’s Nintendo Wii U. Undercooked, undersold and just an unholy mess. The thing is with any of these failures is to learn from them and thankfully both Nintendo and Xbox did just that to the benefit of gamers everywhere.

Show all comments (39)
120°

Pivotal Decisions in Gaming History - Xbox Goes All-In on Kinect

Xbox 360's Kinect had flopped yet Microsoft insisted on mandatory Kinect for Xbox One, driving the price up and alienating their potential customers.

Read Full Story >>
techstomper.com
darthv721747d ago

the tech was pretty damn good but their focus on making it the centerpiece was not. Had they opted to keep it as a secondary or even tertiary device, it may have found new use for AR/VR.

PrimeVinister1747d ago

Maybe. But they were two early for VR and too late for motion control

1747d ago Replies(2)
Godmars2901747d ago

Their focus was marketing metrics. Information gathering for targeted advertising. Also "event curating" or head counting for special TV events. If MS had had their way with always online and mandatory Kinect pre COVID, as and during it they'd likely be turning into dominant presence in many Western homes. Be getting subsidized by Disney and other streamers as well as the NFL.

Thing was, Kinect as an actual game system, its games, just weren't ready. MS moved on it too soon. Thankfully.

Atticus_finch1747d ago

Sorry but it was incredibly bad for gaming. The thing barely worked as intended and the games were broken shovelware. And let's not forget all the lies from Xbox to try and sell it. What happened to Milo?
It's like Xbox it's a perpetual lying machine.

PrimeVinister1747d ago

I had almost forgotten about Milo. It looks so unbelievable in retrospect. How did anyone believe it?!

+ Show (2) more repliesLast reply 1747d ago
TheEnigma3131747d ago

Kinect requirement, TV focused, DRM, and $100 buried Xbone before it even stared.

PrimeVinister1747d ago (Edited 1747d ago )

I think Kinect was the worst of the bunch. They reversed DRM overnight and try to play down the TV stuff when they realised it made them look disinterested in gaming.

Kinect stuck around for six months, preventing sales and making more and more people upset when they dropped the Kinect and the price.

Atticus_finch1747d ago

Don't forget the inferior hardware which affects their game development to this day.
And the constant boasting and lying that hasn't change very much to this day.

kayoss1747d ago

I was kind of excited for the kinect. It had potential. That was until i tried it at one of their Microsoft store. The thing was so laggy and worker who was there, had no clue what he was doing. It kind of made rethink about buying an Xbox One with Kinect.

PrimeVinister1747d ago

I had already been turned off of the idea by Kinect for 360. Even when it worked, the games were bad and showed no potential.

Wii made you understand what they were going to do with it within about 10 seconds of Wii Sports. It went on to become a bit of a joke but at least it worked and had a purpose.

Thundercat771747d ago

The damage to the Xbox brand was so hard that til this day they are just the last place brand in the market.

PrimeVinister1747d ago

Totally. They haven't been really all that relevant since.

Godmars2901747d ago

That has to do with repeatedly failing, having to reaffirm only to again fail at creating a competent flow of decent games.

@PrimeVinister:
Until Game Pass and BC are mentioned. Only for the point to be missed.

kayoss1746d ago

thats because they dont know what they want to be. A gaming console, Television, or a gaming service?

Godmars2901746d ago

@kayoss:
They wanted, expected, to be Steam. To have everyone coming to them and paying for the privilege. That's the exact mentality on display when they tried to push always online.

brewin1746d ago

Its sad because the Xbox one version of Kinect was actually pretty solid. Not for motion games, I couldnt care less about those, but for the other features that are now commonplace in the gaming ecosystem. Things like voice control and optional motion features in games. Stuff that Sony did with the PS camera was pretty sweet and they could have done some of that stuff with Kinect.

The tech was pretty sweet when implemented right though. Who remembers the implementation in Dead Rising 3?! You could lure zombies away by saying stuff into the kinect, it was a bit hokey at first, but it actually enhanced the game significantly once you learned all the different voice commands. There was and still is nothing else like that!

The focus on TV seemed to be an issue for people, but the TV pass through had some real potential. They could have had cable companies giving the XBone out instead of cable boxes! I understood what they were trying to do, but they needed to show the games too, and thats where they lost the core gamers. Being able to jump right to a sports event or TV show with out leaving the console was actually a pretty cool thing. I spent many nights switching between NHL games or TV shows and jumping right back into my games seamlessly, just by telling Kinect to do so. It was better than people care to admit, but I loved it!

People say XBone had no games, but on launch I got Dead Rising 3, AC Black Flag, Watch Dogs, Killer Instinct, Battlefield 4, Forza 5, and Ryse. That was actually a pretty solid lineup in hindsight! Then later on it got gems like Quantum Break, Dead Rising 4, Sunset Overdrive, Gears 4 and 5, the Ori games, Rare Replay, Forza Horizon 3/4, State of Decay 2, ReCore (SUPER UNDERRATED GEM), Halo 5, Halo Wars 2, and all the great 3rd party stuff as well! I dare anyone who sat on the Xbox One to go back and give it a shot now.

It was actually a pretty great console all things considered. Yes the PS4 had better 1st party stuff, stuff that MS just couldnt top or even compete with, but there are some really great games that a lot of people missed out on that they would probably really enjoy if they actually played them. Thats why I recommend a Series S and Gamepass to a lot of people, as its a great way to get an awesome lineup pf games for super cheap!

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