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Greenberg: Kinect will sell 3 million

M2G Writes:

Aaron Greenberg has said during the Toyko Game Show that Kinect will sell 3 million units and extend the current console generation.

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gamasutra.com
Lovable5728d ago

Sure. I'll believe it when I see it.

iamnsuperman5728d ago

Its possible only if the casual market get on it.....They are the ones who are going to buy it partly due to it seaming like a new experience

goosepoose5728d ago (Edited 5728d ago )

haha. the nuclear family is broke as ever. they can only afford wii resorts. "holiday for poor people".

"its a recession when your neighbour loses their job, and its a depression when you do". trust me, this aint entourage. people will look at it and say ooh thats nice, and buy something trashy for the ds.

i am being subjective. let me remix my comment with objectivenessness. lets see here, no matter how you look at it, its not going to sell 3 million any time soon.

Rigmaster5728d ago

It is hilariously pathetic when you really think about.

Just imagine if you went back in time to when the RRoD plagued 360 was rushed out the door by Microsoft and told everyone that in 5 years the Xbox 360 would:

Be dead in Japan just like the first Xbox
Be dead in Europe just like the first Xbox
Graphically humiliated by the PS3

and the 360's only hope for 2010 and 2011 was another damn Halo game and old PS2 era Sony Eye Toy style motion controls that are so bad that they have to fake E3 and other live demos.

iamnsuperman5728d ago

@Goosepoose.....personally I agree It will not but all I am saying if it is possible if Microsoft strike lucky because the casual market is on the fence....They do not go on these websites and see problems with the Kinect like we do....All it takes is 3 million slightly wealthy people in the world to buy it for their children. They are going to be the ones enticed by the marketing campaign that it is a new tech..... Recession affects everyone true but the people who have money to fall back on are still a large enough number in the world population who could afford it

ryuzu5728d ago (Edited 5728d ago )

3 million - is that good? Sounds like that would be far too few in MS's plans - after all this is their new market now since they've ditched their previous fanbase (no surprise given what some of them are like).

If it only sells 3 mil, I think MS will chop the gaming hardware and just go back to PC games.

EDIT : Actually they're doing that already, 3 mil sells will just make them speed it up.

r.

N4PS3Fanboys5728d ago (Edited 5728d ago )

The 360 is only dead in Japan. Currently, it is handily outselling its competition in both the Americas and Europe. A better question is who would have expected the Japanese to continue being so stubborn, refusing to buy foreign products? Everyone.

Now let's go back to 2005, a time where the PlayStation brand was far and away the most successful in the video game industry. Other consoles cowered in fear at the grace of the almighty PS2, and the PS3 was just on the horizon, ready to destroy the competition just like its predecessor, right? Who in a million years would have predicted that 5 years later, the PlayStation brand would have gone from an undefeatable force miles ahead in first place, to a hopeless dead last behind Microsoft and Nintendo, whom it had put to shame the generation before?

As sad as it is to say, PlayStation went from the defining brand of the video game industry, to the laughing stock of the video game industry over the course of just one generation.

GWAVE5728d ago Show
The Maxx5728d ago

I don't know GWAVE. $ony did a pretty good job at duping their customers into buying a $600 PS3 without any games with comments like "4D graphics"

frelyler5728d ago

The 360 has not sold in Japan because they buy products that are of high quality. I am not saying the 360 doesn't have good games, I am saying their hardware is shit and it took them 5 years to give everyone a semi decent piece of hardware, but they still do not include the controller! It's just that the Japanese are smarter and more in the know on the tech and hardware size, hence the low sales. Sorry to say it but the 360's parts were manufactured by the lowest bidder, hence the RROD and M$ billion dollar loss. Also Japanese people know M$ way over charges for their add ons and it is just another reason they won't touch that smoking pile.

Elvfam5115728d ago

""4D graphics" do you know what 4D means Im just asking....

5728d ago
+ Show (7) more repliesLast reply 5728d ago
5728d ago
Motorola5728d ago

Will it blend? That is the question.
OT: Good luck with that Greenberg

Rigmaster5728d ago (Edited 5728d ago )

I wouldn't be surprised if we see the usual Xbox sales pattern:

* The standard die hard Xbox fans rushing out to buy this ill fated add-on

* Lots of press releases from Microsoft PR

* A rapid dieoff in sales

The laughably barren Microsoft exclusive line up for 2010/11 does leave plenty of cash for the diehards to blow on junk like this.

Outside of the diehard Xbox fans there isn't going to be any interest. Kinetic has turned out to be so bad it has become the laughingstock of the console world.

Denethor_II5728d ago (Edited 5728d ago )

Now now, come on. That game where you have to hit the big read balls looks good.

Edit: I think it's called, Extreme Big Red Ball Smash Party Brawl Flying To Space Funatorium.

5728d ago
Megaton5728d ago

It'll happen. They won't allow it to fail. Even if they burn up 10x their potential profit in ad money, they'll make sure it sells millions.

HeroXIV5728d ago

3M though... is that enough? The thing with that then is they'll be dividing the 360 userbase into 2, they already have done that with developers. Encouraging them to do Kinect games instead of Plain Xbox ones...

3M... Means the max a game can sell is 2.5-2.8M... and after those initial launch titles (I'm betting Dance Central will end up as Kinect's best-seller)... games will probably sell very few copies.

Kinect needs to sell 10M units by the end of next year to be a viable solution to 360's longevity.

I agree though M$ will do anything they can to assure it WON'T fail, but by that time... Could be new solutions/gadgets/systems/etc.

xAlmostPro5728d ago

and 10 of those will enjoy it

otherZinc5728d ago

Kinect will sell 3million+ this holiday season.

Now, Move on the other hand will sell like garbage.
However, the Move may have good numbers due to the fact; some Move games require 2 Move controllers.

We'll have to gage the Move via game sales.

+ Show (5) more repliesLast reply 5728d ago
Zir05728d ago

Before anyone says this is purely PR crap read the article. He's basing this prediction on current preorders from retailers.

It really looking like Kinect will be a huge success this holiday.

radphil5728d ago

Really? Cause the pre-orders in our region is sucking so bad in terms of that. Keyword region.

DelbertGrady5728d ago

“Our estimates that we will sell in excess of 3 million units this holiday,” The company is spending “hundreds of millions” of dollars in marketing, “exceeding in what we did when we launched the original Xbox 360,” says Greenberg.

Greenberg also added that Kinect’s success will mean the Xbox 360 will be around a lot longer than most people anticipated.

“We’re five years in. We think we have another good five years-plus, but that remains to be seen — but easily there’s another five years’ life.”

Will be interesting to see how they use their "hundreds of millions" to market it. Since hearing about the 5 new Kinect titles they revealed yesterday my interest for it is a little bigger than before.

Here's a link to the article about them: http://www.tekgoblin.com/20...

Lovable5728d ago

"my interest for it is a little bigger than before. "

Haha. How little was your interest before?

Chris3995728d ago

BUT THAT REMAINS TO BE SEEN.

Careful reading is key. He's hedging his bets. If Kinect is a flop, they've already considered the Xbox "next".

That aside, the Japanese Kinect titles sounded interesting. It was nice to see some stuff that I might actually want to play - horror, fantasy. What a turn around after months of the US media lamenting the "death" of Japanese creativity, when it looks as though that very culture might be the saving grace for their favorite console (360).

I do wonder what control schemes these games will use though. That mech game sounds as if it will have "Kinect support" and it won't be an exclusive exercise in flailing. I expect MS to do a lot of backpedaling if they keep the device and have Kinect + controller games moving forward.

shadyiswin5728d ago

They have announced and welcome controller integration for more complex hardcore games, no need to back peddle, every game won't be hands free. What do you have to complain about? Oh they said its hands free, microsoft are a bunch of liars.....if your a sony fan boy stop being so intrigued by kinect to comment on things you know nothing about.

Chris3995728d ago

you should probably work on your spelling and punctuation more. And yes, MS did initially tout the: "Your Body is the Controller" line. So any deviation from that is indeed back-peddling.

Other than that, I expressed my interest in these new titles, so I'm not sure who you're calling a fanboy. If anything, I've been playing my new PC more than any console these days, because THE GAMES INTEREST ME. That's the point isn't it? You can be critical of a business (MS/ Sony/ Nintendo and their PR b.s.) without being critical of the product (the games).

I don't really know why I'm wasting my time on a response to some multi-account troll though (it's obvious just by checking your history and "join" date).

kerrak5728d ago

hundreds of millions. Is it 2, 3 or 4?
Because if it is 3, then you have 3 million units sold for 300 million dollars, making 100$ per unit on marketing. Typical MS approach to the market: spend triple or more on marketing that on product and quality itself.
Sure they will sell a lot. Not to me.

beardpapa5728d ago

they're just trying to get to $450 million as soon as they can, then grab a portion of the Wii casuals, then start up the shovel-ware revolution. when the returns start to plummet, that's when we'll see the last of full body gaming and a return of the controller.

+ Show (1) more replyLast reply 5728d ago
cliffbo5728d ago

i would really consider these TGS announcements before you get too excited AGAIN. remember what happened on the last hype train.

Lazy_Gamer5728d ago

Looks like we have the fitting match for Patcher. He maybe in the gaming world but hes still loyal only to your buck.

Show all comments (75)
20°

Joy Ride Turbo - The Beginning of the End for Xbox Kinect

Joy Ride Turbo launched 10 years ago today. The first title was Xbox Kinect exclusive, yet this sequel failed to support the device at all.

300°

10 of the Biggest Video Game Hardware Failures Ever

Cultured Vultures: "Sadly, not all hardware is created equal, and no matter how much developers might try, some gaming hardware just fails to hit the mark. We’ve compiled a list of 10 gaming hardware fails, and boy did some fail hard."

Read Full Story >>
culturedvultures.com
Knightofelemia1583d ago

I would label the Power Glove, Kinect, and that Tony Hawk skateboard more as hardware addons hardware failure would be like the Virtual Boy and one day Stadia.

Magog1582d ago

Kinect was bundled with every Xbox One and inflated the price on an already underpowered and low RAM machine so for the One it wasn't an accessory as much as a white elephant.

CaptainHenry9161582d ago (Edited 1582d ago )

Definitely the RROD but that power glove had a lot of issues as well. The Kinect just didn't work

1582d ago
CrimsonWing691582d ago

Hardware add-ons are more like RAM or a video card, basically components that enhance capabilities or performance of the computer.

If you really want to get technical the Kinect is more of a peripheral device, kind of like a keyboard or mouse to a computer.

ThatsGaming1582d ago

The person in this article obviously is not up on their gaming history....

Sega Saturn, Sega Dreamcast, Coleco Gemini, Commodore 128, Commodore Amiga, Atari 5200, Atari 7800 were all massive failures and in most cases cost their companies participating in future gaming generations.

Gamer791582d ago

Sega saturn (successful in Japan) and dreamcast were not failures.
Seems like you're not up on you're gaming history

septemberindecember1582d ago

@Gamer79

How in the world are the Sega Saturn and Dreamcast not seen as failures? They both sold around 8M each, which is much lower than the ~30M that the Genesis had sold before it, and even the Master System before that. They were both the worst selling consoles in their respective generation (PS1, N64 outsold Saturn, PS2, GC, and Xbox outsold Dreamcast). Both of the consoles were incredibly short lived. The Saturn was discontinued in every territory but Japan after just three years. In Japan the console was discontinued after six years. Meanwhile the Dreamcast was discontinued worldwide in 2001 after launching in most territories in 1999 and in Japan in 1998. The failure of the Saturn and Dreamcast lead to Sega pulling out of the hardware market. Which, by the way, all of this occurred when Sega was massively dropping the price of their consoles quickly to compete. Sega was hemorrhaging money at this point.

None of this indicates a successful console. Saying the Saturn was a success because it did better in Japan is like saying the Vita is a success (they both sold around the same amount of units in Japan). Even the Wii U outsold these consoles worldwide.

Magog1582d ago

The picture should be the 360 RROD. When I think of gaming hardware failures that's what springs to mind. Kinect and it's bundled price tag definitely hobbled the already underpowered Xbox One though for sure so I would give it a close second place.

porkChop1582d ago (Edited 1582d ago )

That's not what the author means by failures. It's about hardware that failed in terms of sales (Wii U) or just failed to deliver on its promise (Kinect).

Magog1582d ago (Edited 1582d ago )

Given that the 360 had a year head start, much easier hardware to develop for, was cheaper, and still ended up in third place I think it qualifies especially when you factor in the frustration and huge losses incurred by RROD.

porkChop1582d ago

Selling over 80 million consoles isn't a sales flop. We get it, you don't like Xbox, but that doesn't mean the 360 is suddenly a failure.

Rhythmattic1581d ago

Porky....
You know how many people I know bought a 2nd or third 360 due to RROD? Even when MS had to confront the issue with replacement systems, my mates couldn't wait for even the turnaround of sending it in, and waiting for a replacement.,,..,..
If that's how you consider it a win... OK.. but so is having 5 , of which 3 don't function.... Its a win win....mwhahahahaha

porkChop1581d ago

"my mates couldn't wait for even the turnaround of sending it in"

You're acting like it would take months. When I sent my 360 in I got a new one literally 5 days later. As soon as MS had tracking confirmation that you sent yours, they'd send a new one to you the same day. No one is going to spend hundreds to buy a new console instead of waiting a week. I swear you guys pull some of the dumbest shit out of nowhere and think people will actually believe it.

Regardless, none of this changes the fact that this isn't what the article is even about.

Rhythmattic1580d ago (Edited 1580d ago )

Porky
"You're acting like it would take months"
Sometimes it could.. FFS.. 'Strya here...
Best turnaround I reckon was 2-3 weeks.....
Either way, My mates experiences still exist.. So Sorry, no point trying to earn Xbox Achievements when it doesn't feature in what was a situation you never dealt with,,,,
3 of my friends would disagree (overall, 10 extra Xboxes purchased)
Regardless.. MS sold a lot of 360's that was due to this reason.. That is sales. Fact

"none of this changes the fact that this isn't what the article is even about."
Headline says HELLO !
Oh and "Sadly, not all hardware is created equal," that's enough to pass this on without taking your article bias into consideration.....
As for the rest.... Ok.. But you've actually gone out of your way to give MS a Pass... Fap on.

+ Show (2) more repliesLast reply 1580d ago
Aloymetal1582d ago (Edited 1582d ago )

Yup, and because of that big fiasco MS had to fork out 1 billion but knowing them I think they're very proud of the 360, it's the only time a MS console reached 80mil+ sales, RROD played a big part of that and a record they will never break again.

Rhythmattic1581d ago (Edited 1581d ago )

So true.. Even when MS accepted they where caught out in the biggest lie of any generation, The wait for a replacement was outweighed by just buying another, and having one be returned as a backup, which, btw, generally failed on first swap.
I own honestly can't believe MS tards are just supporting , or arguing why and what MS did by just dismissing it....

lonewolf101582d ago

Lol I had the Atari Jaguar, surprised its "competition" the 3DO isn't on the list too, both as "popular" as each other.

SullysCigar1582d ago

Lol same. Played the crap out of Aliens Vs Predator and Tempest 2000 .... aaand that's about it really!!

lonewolf101582d ago

Sad but true that was pretty much it.

Kurt Russell1582d ago

Agreed, I never actually saw a 3DO make it to retailers in the UK. At least the Atari Jaguar was sold for around 6 months.

lonewolf101582d ago

It made it to some my brother got one, fared just as well as the Jaguar so most probably hard to find in general.

darthv721582d ago

3do had way better games. Jaguar not so much. Neo Geo sold less than both and yet isnt considered a failure. Go figure.

LWOGaming1582d ago

Stadia is a weird one. It hasn’t sold at all well but in terms of how it works it’s still miles ahead of Xcloud in terms of stability and performance. Xcloud is still a way behind and that needs sorting but it will be in time. Stadia for me is one of those things that will go down as a what could have been moments. With better marketing it could have been a roaring success. I still play it and it remains the best place in my opinion to play CyberPunk 2077. Only platform I have played it on without having any issues at all. The tech is great. The concept is fine. Marketing terrible. Shame really.

Magog1582d ago

The sales model was awful. They should have teamed with an existing player to allow for local and cloud access to games or a gaming subscription service.

LWOGaming1582d ago

It was a strange mess from such a huge company, as I said, as a system it works really well but without gamers it’s nothing. Such a waste,

LWOGaming1582d ago

The Xbox One was Microsoft’s Nintendo Wii U. Undercooked, undersold and just an unholy mess. The thing is with any of these failures is to learn from them and thankfully both Nintendo and Xbox did just that to the benefit of gamers everywhere.

Show all comments (39)
120°

Pivotal Decisions in Gaming History - Xbox Goes All-In on Kinect

Xbox 360's Kinect had flopped yet Microsoft insisted on mandatory Kinect for Xbox One, driving the price up and alienating their potential customers.

Read Full Story >>
techstomper.com
darthv721759d ago

the tech was pretty damn good but their focus on making it the centerpiece was not. Had they opted to keep it as a secondary or even tertiary device, it may have found new use for AR/VR.

PrimeVinister1759d ago

Maybe. But they were two early for VR and too late for motion control

1759d ago Replies(2)
Godmars2901759d ago

Their focus was marketing metrics. Information gathering for targeted advertising. Also "event curating" or head counting for special TV events. If MS had had their way with always online and mandatory Kinect pre COVID, as and during it they'd likely be turning into dominant presence in many Western homes. Be getting subsidized by Disney and other streamers as well as the NFL.

Thing was, Kinect as an actual game system, its games, just weren't ready. MS moved on it too soon. Thankfully.

Atticus_finch1759d ago

Sorry but it was incredibly bad for gaming. The thing barely worked as intended and the games were broken shovelware. And let's not forget all the lies from Xbox to try and sell it. What happened to Milo?
It's like Xbox it's a perpetual lying machine.

PrimeVinister1759d ago

I had almost forgotten about Milo. It looks so unbelievable in retrospect. How did anyone believe it?!

+ Show (2) more repliesLast reply 1759d ago
TheEnigma3131759d ago

Kinect requirement, TV focused, DRM, and $100 buried Xbone before it even stared.

PrimeVinister1759d ago (Edited 1759d ago )

I think Kinect was the worst of the bunch. They reversed DRM overnight and try to play down the TV stuff when they realised it made them look disinterested in gaming.

Kinect stuck around for six months, preventing sales and making more and more people upset when they dropped the Kinect and the price.

Atticus_finch1759d ago

Don't forget the inferior hardware which affects their game development to this day.
And the constant boasting and lying that hasn't change very much to this day.

kayoss1759d ago

I was kind of excited for the kinect. It had potential. That was until i tried it at one of their Microsoft store. The thing was so laggy and worker who was there, had no clue what he was doing. It kind of made rethink about buying an Xbox One with Kinect.

PrimeVinister1759d ago

I had already been turned off of the idea by Kinect for 360. Even when it worked, the games were bad and showed no potential.

Wii made you understand what they were going to do with it within about 10 seconds of Wii Sports. It went on to become a bit of a joke but at least it worked and had a purpose.

Thundercat771759d ago

The damage to the Xbox brand was so hard that til this day they are just the last place brand in the market.

PrimeVinister1759d ago

Totally. They haven't been really all that relevant since.

Godmars2901759d ago

That has to do with repeatedly failing, having to reaffirm only to again fail at creating a competent flow of decent games.

@PrimeVinister:
Until Game Pass and BC are mentioned. Only for the point to be missed.

kayoss1758d ago

thats because they dont know what they want to be. A gaming console, Television, or a gaming service?

Godmars2901758d ago

@kayoss:
They wanted, expected, to be Steam. To have everyone coming to them and paying for the privilege. That's the exact mentality on display when they tried to push always online.

brewin1758d ago

Its sad because the Xbox one version of Kinect was actually pretty solid. Not for motion games, I couldnt care less about those, but for the other features that are now commonplace in the gaming ecosystem. Things like voice control and optional motion features in games. Stuff that Sony did with the PS camera was pretty sweet and they could have done some of that stuff with Kinect.

The tech was pretty sweet when implemented right though. Who remembers the implementation in Dead Rising 3?! You could lure zombies away by saying stuff into the kinect, it was a bit hokey at first, but it actually enhanced the game significantly once you learned all the different voice commands. There was and still is nothing else like that!

The focus on TV seemed to be an issue for people, but the TV pass through had some real potential. They could have had cable companies giving the XBone out instead of cable boxes! I understood what they were trying to do, but they needed to show the games too, and thats where they lost the core gamers. Being able to jump right to a sports event or TV show with out leaving the console was actually a pretty cool thing. I spent many nights switching between NHL games or TV shows and jumping right back into my games seamlessly, just by telling Kinect to do so. It was better than people care to admit, but I loved it!

People say XBone had no games, but on launch I got Dead Rising 3, AC Black Flag, Watch Dogs, Killer Instinct, Battlefield 4, Forza 5, and Ryse. That was actually a pretty solid lineup in hindsight! Then later on it got gems like Quantum Break, Dead Rising 4, Sunset Overdrive, Gears 4 and 5, the Ori games, Rare Replay, Forza Horizon 3/4, State of Decay 2, ReCore (SUPER UNDERRATED GEM), Halo 5, Halo Wars 2, and all the great 3rd party stuff as well! I dare anyone who sat on the Xbox One to go back and give it a shot now.

It was actually a pretty great console all things considered. Yes the PS4 had better 1st party stuff, stuff that MS just couldnt top or even compete with, but there are some really great games that a lot of people missed out on that they would probably really enjoy if they actually played them. Thats why I recommend a Series S and Gamepass to a lot of people, as its a great way to get an awesome lineup pf games for super cheap!

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