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Why I Believe Next Generation Will Be All Digital Distribution

It has been a while since this generation took hold of audiences around the world. Today, GATT’s GamerX takes a peek into the future and what it might hold for gamers. And what he sees is digital distribution across the board. Right now, companies are currently upset with the second hand game market, losing sales to used games, and basically making companies like GameStop a whole lot of money. Meanwhile publishers around the world are making portions of their game require a new purchase for it to be considered a full game? Where does this all head – Digital Distribution.

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gamingallthetime.com
gamelova5780d ago

I hope not. I like having a box with a manual and beautiful art on the box.

TheLeprachaun5780d ago

They could still sell the game boxes, maybe with a code inside to download the game for people without credit cards.

Rot_in_Fail5780d ago (Edited 5780d ago )

I've read a interview with some Sony rep, saying all AAA games will be released on disc. Can't find it now.
I'm 100% sure next Playstation and Xbox will have games on discs.

TheLeprachaun5780d ago

Not disagreeing with you. Just saying that digital downloads might not mean the end of game boxes. Personally I prefer discs and other forms of physical media, but eventually they won't be relevant. Probably not next gen, although DD will certainly be bigger than it is now. The generation after next though, I simply can't see physical media still existing. I mean come on, that'd be at least the year 2020.

mantisimo5780d ago

....but I actually like the ceremony of getting home, pouring a wine or cracking a beer, scratching my dogs ear, then thumbing through my games and finding 1 I would like to play, opening the box, clicking the dvd/blu ray out (maybe give it a little polish using my breath and a soft sleave) smile when the disc is gently taken by the ps3 or wii or opening the drive on the xbox, sipping while it loads and then putting it away again at the end of the session.

I would be genuinely quite sad to lose discs all together.

GWAVE5780d ago

With Blu-Ray boasting 50 Gigs of space now (soon 100 Gigs will be standard for games, possibly), I don't see how gamers or developers could shrink a game down so much for a digital download. ISPs are already cracking down on heavy downloaders, and since next gen games are only going to get bigger in terms of how much space they take up, I have a hard time believing devs will force gamers to DL 20-50 gigs of content just for one game.

Anon19745780d ago

Digital Distribution isn't the future...cloud gaming is the future. Now, bear in mind we're probably talking 10-12 years down the road but I think video games are more likely to become like cable TV now.
Everyone will buy consoles which connect to their network of choice for a monthly fee. Different networks will secure different exclusives to get people onto their networks, but the heavy lifting will be done by the servers running at each network, and the boxes under your TV will just connect to these servers. That way when new technology becomes available the networks can update the hardware on their end rather then spending billions on consoles that may or may not sell.

Think about it. All the major problems facing the gaming industry would be solved. Expensive console development cycles? Solved. Game Piracy? Solved? The used game market? Solved. Attach rates? Everyone pays monthly fees - or subscribes to channels of interest to them like RTS or FPS. Solved.

Competition would still be alive and well with competing networks trying to attract gamers and their income streams would be much more steady. And imagine the freedom this would provide the gamer. Thousands of games at the touch of a button, never having to shell out cash for games you later hate, never having to bother renting.

While there are many (including myself) who like to own their titles, I'm sure that would still be an option but think of TV now. We don't (for the most part) own the TV shows we watch, and many networks are making their programming available on demand.

I feel this is the way gaming will go because it makes the most sense to the industry as a whole. Digital Distribution will always have a place in the market - but I don't feel it will take over next gen. This gen is already half over and we're just not ready yet.

rockleex5780d ago (Edited 5780d ago )

Why do you think Madden needs a yearly release? Because even if EA offers to update Madden 09 to Madden 10 through DLC, a huge chunk of the userbase will not be able to do so.

Why do you think Media Molecule couldn't just release a HUGE patch and turn LBP 1 into LBP 2?

Only way for digital downloads to overtake physical media is if 90% of the world has high speed internet access within the next 5 years.

ISP's will also have to lift download caps.

DRM has to help more and harm less.

They would have to lower the price of each digital copy because there is no longer the cost of discs.

ChozenWoan5780d ago (Edited 5780d ago )

Cloud computing is.

With DD you still have to purchase a reasonably sized Hard drive to store all those games. And with Next gen having 6-100+ GB games, it would likely be less expensive to just use UV-Discs or some other high capacity media. There is already people who are filling up 1TB HDD on there consoles this gen, and we still have 4-5 more years before the next consoles.

Cloud computing on the other hand requires little to no downloading. Since everything is tied to your account and your just accessing the game from the game servers, you virtually have unlimited storage space... at least as much as the game companies can afford. Next gen we will see the emergence of cloud gaming on the top three consoles, but it wont replace discs or DD.

Can't wait to see what PS5 and Xbox 5555 brings to gaming.

HolyOrangeCows5780d ago (Edited 5780d ago )

"Digital Distribution isn't the future...cloud gaming is the future"
Screw that, that's even worse! Cloud gaming is inefficient and low quality.

Give me physical media that I actually get to OWN.

FarEastOrient5780d ago

With the United States only having 30 percent on broadband than the next console being download only is not happening. According to the FCC DSL wouldn't even be considered broadband, AT&T U-Verse, me included are not on broadband.

I used to be on Comcast, but since the price of that bandwidth is crazy compared to European (U.K., France) and Asian countries (Japan, S. Korea) we are behind the ball curve.

Plus a majority of console players play their games where they can not get internet access 24/7 for example the military forces. Percentage wise United States Army gamers are larger than the public in general, meaning that internet access is not possible everywhere we go.

+ Show (6) more repliesLast reply 5780d ago
tinybigman5780d ago

better not DD has no resale value if i need sell a game or two for another game.

trancefreak5780d ago

Yup agree and you know what Sony is all about media and its media also requires a disc slot. Sony will want people enjoying all ranges of media from blu rays and games to maybe another high end format.

If the other camps want to go dd I could care less.

Next gen Im going with sony again and I hope they support the ps3 system on the ps4. I really think its a must for me this time around.

I own a 60gb launch ps3 with ps2 that i will never get rid of. I f it breaks ill fix it. Maybe 1 day itll be a collectors item. Would love to sell it on eBay in 20 years for 50g lolz would be nice

vsr5779d ago

Please wait & see until PS4 launch.

Boody-Bandit5780d ago (Edited 5780d ago )

Hope has nothing to do with it. It's not going to happen. The net infrastructure isn't there now and it wont be by the time the next generation starts. This is just another wishful thinking but know very little article. I really wish people would get it through their thick skulls that the net doesn't have speeds, and most likely wont for a very long time, to support these downloads for DD.

There are still a ton of areas in the U.S. that don't even have broadband yet. I only have one option for the internet where I live, Comcast (which has been capped because of DD). It's still the only option and I have been living here 10 years! I have been hearing FIOS will be available in my area for 5 years now and still there is no definitive date as to when, or if, it will be available.

I don't want DD any way. There is no resale value, trade in value, deals or bundles to be had, etc... If gaming goes this direction I might look for a new hobby. I prefer to own (do what I want with) what I pay for. I think DD is nothing but an inconvience and it will cost thousands of jobs. That's what the world needs, less people working.

Milamber5780d ago

It would be cool if they released external drives for storing games with a LCD screen that display art and game information for the game you're playing.

Persistantthug5780d ago

just as there isn't THIS GEN.

Too many people around THE WORLD do not have broadband connections.

Consoles and games are a WORLDWIDE market, not a regional one.

Next gen will still have retail hard copy games.

It doesn't take a genius to understand that.

BattleAxe5780d ago

If xbox doesn't adopt blu-ray, then I would think that xbox owners should expect to be heavy into digital downloads.

+ Show (3) more repliesLast reply 5779d ago
ActionBastard5780d ago

I can't take a download to my non-online playing friend's house, so, I hope physical media is around for some time. Plus, there are collectors out there.

frankymv5780d ago (Edited 5780d ago )

Excellent article..especially the part about a portable hdd for those w/o broadband.

clank5435780d ago

I really don't want to have to wait for hours just download an entire game, personallly. Is it really that hard to make a box and write down a few instructions on a manual? Plus, its a lot harder for a casual audience to connect to something they can't physically hold in their hands.

TheLeprachaun5780d ago

Is it really? Farmville and Mafia Wars begs to differ.

rockleex5780d ago

Download up to 50 GBs? -_-"

Not to mention they are FREE.

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70°

Xbox boss: Memory crisis could impact next-gen hardware pricing

Xbox boss Asha Sharma has discussed how component shortages will impact the company's plans for Project Helix.

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gamedeveloper.com
Eonjay27d ago

When does this end? Its killing everyone. Consoles and PC. And for what? AI? The benefits of AI are completely outweighed by the negatives. And the government should have never allowed one company to buy up all the RAM.

Lexreborn228d ago

This kind of proves this is an after thought product, most products like this are in r&d 5 years before they start mass producing. So they typically have the cost of components and things worked out long before assembly starts.

This is an assumption still, but I wouldn’t be surprised if project helix is similar to Scalebound,perfect dark and sod3. They had an idea but no actual execution other than concept stage. Being impacted by the ram shortage likely would also put this device 3-4 years out.

I’m not even sure MS has that endurance with Xbox yet

Fishy Fingers28d ago (Edited 28d ago )

I mean.... what?

We're at a point that Samsung wont even provide their own phone department ram because they can sell it at higher prices to 3rd parties (AI). Its more profitable to sell the ram than make their own devices with it.

You think because R&D starts 5 years ago the 3rd party component manufacturers will honour that price? They'll sell it to whomever is paying the most today, not some gentlemens agreement they made years ago. AI farms will buy more volume at higher prices than any console manufacturer will. It'll be the same for Playstation.

Lexreborn227d ago

Contractual agreements are not the same as “gentlemen” agreements. If you think that they work with their distributors a month before production then their entire business model is trash. They work with companies like nvidia constantly for building the graphics cards they need. They work with companies that build motherboards years in advance. This is what proper business planning does.

They are not buying components on a whim like a consumer. So again, considering the ram isn’t a singular module and is integrated into the motherboard I highly doubt they wouldn’t have a final schematic that they are supposed to be building around.

If they are delaying production another 3 years then it’s obvious again this is an after though project and is just trying to be responsive to their bad execution they had the last 14 years.

It also isn’t far fetched to use their failure to produce first party titles the last 7 years including the highly anticipated games I mentioned all being cancelled. That they would continue to you know… lie

Sitdown27d ago

You don't really know how this works huh?

Profchaos28d ago (Edited 28d ago )

Helix is going to be stupidly expensive

Instead of leaning into smarter upscaling techniques they're brute forcing hardware that will cost them dearly and it remains to be seen if it's genuinely going to provide a meaningful differential

I know in the oc.doace people like to brag about not using frame gen or dlss to get to high on a game but for the majority of players they happily use those technologies without a second thought

That's going to be ps6 vs Helix

Eonjay27d ago

Yeah with FSR 5 they should be able to offer a much cheaper version of Helix.

Eonjay27d ago

While this does seem to be the case, I am encouraged by the statement from Microsoft about wanting to provide affordable options. If this means a Series S style Helix, at least there will be something affordable being offered.

XBManiac27d ago

Series S is what has killed Xbox Series so... Will they dare?

blacktiger28d ago

It's called systematic inflationary. Yes we get it Microsoft, keep raising in the name ofall kinds of stuffs

pwnmaster300028d ago

Honestly if there was thing I learned from this generation is that new consoles arnt day one anymore.
I can wait 1-3 years.

DarXyde28d ago

Another important lesson from this generation: while Nintendo showed us that prices don't necessarily need to ever drop, we've now learned that waiting 1-3 years does carry some risk that prices increase. This generation is just bizarre in all the wrong ways.

LucasRuinedChildhood28d ago (Edited 28d ago )

The factors are largely external. Covid and Russia-Ukraine war causing inflation led to the first price increase in 2022.

Then we get Trump's tariffs increasing hardware prices, AI boom causing a RAM crisis, war on Iran causing a worldwide fuel crisis which impacts the cost of everything.

Gaming doesn't exist in a vacuum. The last few years have been a shitshow and lot of it was definitely avoidable.

DarXyde27d ago

LucasRuinedChildhood,

For sure. No disagreement on the external factors doing a lot of this. Where I have to gently push back however is on two fronts:

1. The pandemic definitely caused some issues: asynchronous development was a big issue and really complicated timelines and affected game quality. At the same time, when it comes to price hikes, it's really difficult to know what was genuine necessity and what was taking consumers for a ride. The pandemic brought about "stag-flation" which was increasing prices and stagnant wages, which was a problem caused by supply chain constraints. There was also "Greed-flation", where companies that were slightly affected or had no issues took advantage of the situation and squeezed everyone citing supply chain issues when there were none.

2. It's definitely true that the tariffs, AI boom, and RAM crisis were all things enabled by tech broligarchs throwing money at this caricature of a world leader, one of them being Satya Nadella. I don't think Sony and Nintendo have contributed much to this problem if at all, but Microsoft's Nadella I feel was instrumental in causing every one of those issues. Microsoft as a company contributed to both candidates (though they gave Harris 4x as much if I recall), but Nadella was all in on letting AI run wild. He paid for unregulated AI, and got a war that's not a war (even though Trump called it that at least five times on television) that screwed up helium access. So for me, I feel that one of the players in the gaming industry is a key architect of these issues, and for that reason I struggle a bit to think of it as "external".

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40°

Microsoft lifts the lid on Project Helix at GDC Festival of Gaming

The Xbox maker will begin sending alpha versions of Project Helix to developers starting in 2027.

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gamedeveloper.com
240°

Xbox Confirms 'Project Helix', Its Next-Gen Console That Will Also Play PC Games

New Microsoft Gaming CEO Asha Sharma, who took over as the head of the Xbox business last week as longtime Xbox boss Phil Spencer retired, has confirmed the codename for Xbox's next-generation console – Project Helix – and also confirmed long-swirling rumors that the device will play Xbox and PC games.

81d ago
dveio81d ago

Hm.

Selling to customers the benefits of Xbox Helix compared to a PC and Steam Machine will be the biggest task for Xbox' marketing, I suppose.

81d ago Replies(2)
81d ago Replies(5)
1Victor80d ago

I said when Xbox destroyed their future with with all their arrogance at the start of XBone”if they keep loosing money they only have 2 more generations before they exit the console market like sega.
This is their final chance to validate the existence of a console to the INVESTORS if this console fail as we all know without exclusives from the activision acquisition or their old exclusives for more than a year it’s game over for Xbox consoles.
Everyone know games will wait for a timed exclusive to go to their console of choice, Microsoft signed the Xbox console death certificate the moment they started PORTING ALL THEIR GAMES to other consoles.
Now my hope is that Valve gives Sony a run for their money and we get a good generation where they take risks and bring new experiences to the market.

80d ago
S2Killinit80d ago (Edited 80d ago )

They will make xbox “consoles”, but they actively downplay consoles because their business strategy is walled garden services

This is basically a PC w xbox logo

fr0sty80d ago (Edited 80d ago )

Xbox has put itself in a tough position... With current RAM prices, the system is going to cost a fortune (it's APU alone is $500-600, before you even get to the RAM, SSD, power supply, etc). So, we're looking at a 4 digit price tag, and it has the Gabecube to compete against now directly in that console space. It has no exclusive games at all. PS6 is coming in close in performance but expected to cost hundreds less, and PS6 Pro will likely again take the "most powerful crown" once it drops, but it will actually have exclusive games.

Not an easy sell to the general public, and not even an easy sell to the PC enthusiasts as it isn't powerful enough to justify paying that much for when you could just build a far more powerful PC for not much more $. If I'm dropping north of $1k on a game system, I'm going to want to go all out, not have mid-range performance. It'll be interesting how they plan on marketing this thing, and who they expect to buy it.

Reaper22_80d ago

Looks like you dont know what you're talking about.

1Victor80d ago

What changed?
Hey obscured 🤖🤖
I’ll explain it like to a IQ 9
Nothing has changed they kept loosing money and to please their INVESTORS Microsoft purchased activision and other developers spending more money they could make in WAAAAAY too long for the company CEO that love monetizing everything so they started porting to EVERYTHING they could (even fire stick🤣🤣).
Do you know why it’s called the big 3?
In the lat 70’s to early 80’ there was multiple companies with their own consoles each the market collapsed and only 2 survived, enter PlayStation, exit sega, exit google, Microsoft is destabilized and desperately start to port all their games EVERYWHERE, enter valve.

Now
W h a t do Y O U think w i l l h a p p e n t o
t h e 3rd leg of that triangle when one is warbling and a replacement is on the way.

GhostScholar80d ago

Loosing money ? Got it. You’re obviously educated….

1Victor80d ago

@ghost: “ Loosing money ? Got it. You’re obviously educated…”
Sure I’m not a scholar but it’s obvious that they aren’t going to be publishing their big franchises day one games on their competitors because of brotherly love for the gaming industry.
Unless and I know this is something a lot of Xbox hardcore fans like obscure can’t comprehend that a big corporation like Microsoft is loosing money gen after gen,
Money doesn’t come for free from big corporations Xbox gen 1 lost money on consoles sold. Xbox 360 lost money on repairs of the RROD Xbox One didn’t make the money they wanted, Xbox series hasn’t sold as well as expected and have a MASIVE LOAN from all the studios and a publisher purchase..
I’ll be waiting for your reply proving they are not loosing money. Oh I see you pulling that game pass card, put it back FCC filing by Microsoft said they didn’t make money from game pass.
NOW PROVE ME WRONG

mudakoshaka80d ago (Edited 80d ago )

They had to put them on other platforms. All the gaming companies they bought cost a LOT of money. Xbox is not sufficient to bring in new revenue, so the only choice is expanding your market share by releasing on other platforms that are clearly leading the market. It was not something they wanted but something they needed to do to recoup some of all the expenses.

+ Show (5) more repliesLast reply 80d ago
peppeaccardo80d ago

I might be saying the obvious but any piece of hardware for as powerful as it could be, without an healthy portfolio of fun to play and engaging games is worth less tehn zero. So as long as the new XBOX will be marketed as the most powerful console on the planet and NOT as the ONLY place where true long lastying XBOX fans can impersonate their beloved characters/heroes this thing is going to fail big. I would love to think that Playstaiton is moving away from the PC ports also to keep its identity, the truth is that a console value is higher if that console is the only mean to access certain IPs. XBOX with gamepass and PC ports has depersonalized his player and fan base.
Just my two cents ... but I am sure there is some thurth in here.
Peace on !

Reaper22_80d ago

Xbox has a huge library of great games. This new console will be able to play them all. Thats what gamers care about the most.

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81d ago Replies(1)
Deathdeliverer81d ago

The question will be if you have a PC, why buy a Xbox that plays PC and Xbox games… Unless they plan to have you buy a Xbox PC instead of a dedicated PC. Thats got to be the plan. Take some of the PC players and turn them into console PC players. They couldn’t give you full access to the PC/console like you can with a dedicated PC because you would think the piracy for the “dedicated” Xbox games would be crazy. Yeah, they are really going to have to explain who this is for. If you can install whatever you want then you would have Steam access. This directly copies the Steam box idea so I’m sure Steam isn’t happy about it. I guess time will tell.

81d ago
Rainbowcookie80d ago (Edited 80d ago )

Maybe it will be heavily subsidized so software sales will make up the loss to get it into peoples hands early and the system allows for a steam like environment. I think Sony knows since rumor has it that they will do less Pc ports.

derek80d ago

I dont think that's in the cards not with the 80 plus billion spent on gaming this gen. Microsoft aint subsidizing hardware anymore look how they've priced the series consoles and offered no deals this past holidays. Sony pulling away from pc ports is because there is no good rational for continuing to do so.

ABizzel180d ago (Edited 80d ago )

They don’t sell enough of the current Xbox consoles to heavily subsidize those platforms and in fact they increased in price, so I don’t see a future where this gets any. I think we’re looking at a $999 platform, which I mean is great for a GPU rumored to be on par with a full PC running a RTX 5070Ti/5080 equivalent depending on clocks, since those GPUs alone around $1000+.

I assume they’re going to do a two tiered system again, because a lowered cost version could be the significantly better option for PC gamers specifically the esports crowd who doesn’t upgrade all the time and don’t care about the highest specs. If they can do something around a RX 9060 with 16GB+ of VRAM for $499 then that would be the true winner because it gives those PC gamers a REAL substantial upgrade at a very reasonable price. It’ll also put a huge amount of pressure on the Steam Box.

isarai_lee80d ago

What i was wondering too, like best case scenario it's a PC with a bunch of restrictions on it, and when ALL their games on on PC, what is even the incentive here? 🤔

ABizzel180d ago (Edited 80d ago )

It builds a niche for them, and I’ve been saying they should have done this since the XBO. However, it’s still going to be a battle. Hardcore PC gamers are not leaving PC unless this is an ultimate steal in price:performance.

The rumored spec depending on clock speeds should place this around RTX 5070TI / 5080 performance which sounds insane, but the rumored launch in late 2027 and the RTX 5070Ti/5080 will be almost 3 years old by then.

But those GPUs are retailing around $1000, so what is this PC-Console hybrid going to cost.

+ Show (1) more replyLast reply 80d ago
MrNinosan81d ago

Basically a PC with an Xbox logo slapped on, just like the so called Xbox handheld.
My guess is it won't play my Xbox games I have on disc 🤔

81d ago
babadivad80d ago

Nah, the handheld IS a PC. It can stream Xbox games or play the PC version of those games with "play anywhere".

This sounds like it will play Xbox games natively, which is amazing if true.

I want to see more. I already have a powerful PC so I need to be sold on this before just diving in. Tech whore that I am. Seems very interesting so far, regardless.

DazaMc80d ago

Perhaps it will download a compatible version if you have the disc in.

Reaper22_80d ago

You just described all consoles. At the end of the day they're all PCs.

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